Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.860161 0.995432 1.141845 1.311696 1.502897 1.711049 1.954369
2024-12-15 0.682374 0.874862 1.101472 1.386082 1.731957 2.136525 2.643235
2024-12-22 0.552129 0.773475 1.053422 1.429072 1.914957 2.516757 3.312270
2024-12-29 0.476479 0.720274 1.047934 1.512479 2.144705 2.964519 4.095377
2025-01-05 0.392996 0.638466 0.987696 1.508540 2.250803 3.253511 4.689524
2025-01-12 0.325273 0.565551 0.926001 1.489127 2.325739 3.497896 5.233006
2025-01-19 0.273734 0.507332 0.875495 1.475708 2.401659 3.742039 5.785127
2025-01-26 0.240876 0.473100 0.855713 1.503530 2.536487 4.074728 6.479212
2025-02-02 0.211701 0.439864 0.832173 1.520685 2.653120 4.384514 7.154555
2025-02-09 0.185766 0.407832 0.805793 1.528686 2.753178 4.672280 7.809970
2025-02-16 0.167994 0.388048 0.797616 1.565131 2.899948 5.038538 8.602703
2025-02-23 0.149523 0.363671 0.777728 1.578105 3.006788 5.345677 9.317031
2025-03-02 0.125809 0.324799 0.726709 1.531385 3.010297 5.490231 9.788781
2025-03-09 0.115502 0.313207 0.727000 1.579314 3.182810 5.923404 10.751700
2025-03-16 0.104987 0.299246 0.720655 1.613549 3.332632 6.326284 11.684897
2025-03-23 0.100271 0.298184 0.740703 1.700769 3.584964 6.917235 12.960358
2025-03-30 0.088400 0.277202 0.715490 1.694440 3.661193 7.205274 13.734633
2025-04-06 0.076955 0.254948 0.684360 1.672258 3.704356 7.435541 14.418367
2025-04-13 0.067513 0.236048 0.658131 1.657163 3.758916 7.687222 15.148574
2025-04-20 0.061912 0.226836 0.653394 1.687806 3.905866 8.114109 16.206985
2025-04-27 0.056249 0.216255 0.643904 1.706721 4.029744 8.503584 17.214148
2025-05-04 0.050696 0.204790 0.630641 1.715545 4.132825 8.858231 18.172205
2025-05-11 0.047131 0.198933 0.630989 1.755787 4.304088 9.350281 19.402130